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Recent Posts - page 2

• Forecasting the Future S&P 500 Index for the Year-End 2017

  By Ivan V. Sichkar on January 11, 2017 • ( 0 )

  

  Based on the statistical analysis and the forecast using GDP and S&P 500 data, I expect the S&P 500 Index to close at 2,375 on December 29, 2017. That is a potential annual upside of 6.1% from the closing price of 2,238 on December 30, 2016.

• Forecasting the Future S&P 500 Index for the Year-End 2016

  By Ivan V. Sichkar on December 28, 2015 • ( 0 )

  

  As a holiday tradition at ECNFIN.com, I forecast the S&P500 Index closing price one year from now. Based on the statistical analysis and forecast described in detail further in this article, I expect the S&P 500 Index to close between… Read More ›

• Yield Spread Effect on Bond and Equity Markets

  By Ivan V. Sichkar on May 31, 2015 • ( 0 )

  

  What will happen to fixed income and equity markets when the Fed starts raising its short-term interest rate? History shows that the Fed does not have a strong influence on long-term rates. Usually, when the Fed decides to raise its… Read More ›

• Forecasting the Future S&P 500 Index for the Year-End 2015

  By Ivan V. Sichkar on December 17, 2014 • ( 2 )

  

  Based on the analysis and forecast described in detail further in this article, I expect the S&P 500 Index to close between 1,905 and 1,935 on December 31st, 2015. This forecast is based on the expected Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the United States which is calculated to be between $18,187 and $18,363 billion for the year 2015.

• Passively Managed Funds and Heuristic Biases: New Challenges and Opportunities

  By Ivan V. Sichkar on July 8, 2014 • ( 2 )

  

  The structure of financial markets has changed with the rapid growth and popularity of passively managed funds. Passively managed funds can have a similar effect on the economy as systemically important financial institutions. Trading in passively managed funds may directly… Read More ›

• Forecasting the Future Stock Market Performance for the Year-End 2014

  By Ivan V. Sichkar on December 8, 2013 • ( 0 )

  

  It is the Holiday Season and we would like to make a new tradition here at ECNFIN by reviewing the current year stock market performance and looking into the future. We wish you happy and safe holidays full of wonderful… Read More ›

• Fair Use of Revenue Sharing in a 401(k) Plan

  By Ivan V. Sichkar on November 18, 2013 • ( 0 )

  

  Today, plan sponsors and fiduciaries of retirement plans have knowledge of all the fees being charged to their 401(k) or 403(b) plans by various services provides. The new disclosure requirement under ERISA Section 408(b)(2) requires all service providers to disclose… Read More ›

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